Eye On Housing - A Blog from NAHB

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National Association of Home Builders Discusses Economics and Housing Policy
Updated: 52 min 14 sec ago

Single Family and Multifamily Construction Spending Post Gains

Wed, 11/01/2017 - 12:21
NAHB analysis of Census Construction Spending data shows that total private residential construction spending stood at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of $515.4 billion in September, virtually unchanged from downwardly revised August estimates. The total private residential construction spending was 9.6% higher than a year ago. The monthly gains are largely attributed to the steady growth of spending on... Read More ›

Home Prices Accelerate in August

Tue, 10/31/2017 - 14:20
The S&P/Case-Shiller and the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) released their respective home price indices for August 2017. National home prices rose at a faster annual growth rate, while local home price gains varied. Price growth in metro areas across the West region exceeded the national average. The Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, reported by S&P Dow Jones Indices,... Read More ›

Homeownership Rate Approaches 64%

Tue, 10/31/2017 - 14:00
According to the Census Bureau’s Housing Vacancy Survey (HVS), the U.S. homeownership rate is at 63.9% in the third quarter 2017, which is statistically unchanged from its last quarter reading of 63.7%. The rate of homeownership is on an upward trend after dropping to a cycle low of 62.9% in the second quarter 2016. Compared to the peak of 69.2%... Read More ›

Gains in September Personal Spending

Mon, 10/30/2017 - 12:50
Personal consumption expenditures rose 1% in September, according to the most recent data release from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The strong gains were mainly due to higher spending on new motor vehicles and household utilities in September. Adjusted for inflation, personal spending was up by 0.6%, after a 0.1% decline in August. Personal income climbed 0.4% in September, largely... Read More ›

Florida Accounts for Much of Nationwide Decrease in Employment

Mon, 10/30/2017 - 09:12
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, nonfarm payroll employment increased in 28 states and decreased in 23 states and the District of Columbia in September 2017 compared to August 2017. Although the majority of states recorded a monthly increase, the decline across the state of Florida was large enough to offset those gains. As a result, payroll employment nationwide... Read More ›

Cash Sales Retreat as a Share of New Home Purchases

Fri, 10/27/2017 - 17:47
NAHB analysis of the most recent Quarterly Sales by Price and Financing published by the Census Bureau reveals that cash sales accounted for just 4.8% of the total, down from 6.5% in the second quarter. FHA-loans financed 14.3% of new home sales during the third quarter of 2017. As of the second quarter of 2017, the share of sales financed with FHA-backed... Read More ›

Pending Sales Flat

Thu, 10/26/2017 - 10:49
The Pending Home Sales Index, unchanged in September, has fallen on an annual basis in five of the past six months, and is at its lowest level since January 2015. The Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI), a forward-looking indicator based on signed contracts reported by the National Association of Realtors (NAR), remained unchanged at 106.0 from a downwardly revised August... Read More ›

Jump for New Home Sales in September

Wed, 10/25/2017 - 12:49
Contracts for new home sales expanded by 18.9% in September to a 667,000 seasonally adjusted annual rate, according to estimates from the joint data release of HUD and the Census Bureau. The solid reading in September returns new home sales to the positive growth trend it has been on for several years. This expansion is supported by ongoing job growth and improving household formations, as well as tight existing home inventory. Despite some... Read More ›

2016 Multifamily Completions by Building Size

Tue, 10/24/2017 - 09:34
The Census Bureau recently released 2016 multifamily completions data from the Survey of Construction. A total of 159,000 housing units, or 49 percent of all multifamily completions, were in buildings with 50 or more units, more than any other building type (Figure 1). Multifamily completions in large buildings (50 or more units) grew significantly after the Great Recession, but growth... Read More ›

Vinyl is the Most Widely Used Primary Exterior On New Homes

Mon, 10/23/2017 - 10:00
According to data from the Census Bureau’s Survey of Construction (SOC), vinyl (including vinyl-covered aluminum) was the most common primary exterior wall material on new single-family homes started in 2016 nationwide (27.2 percent), followed by stucco (24.4 percent), brick or brick veneer (21.8 percent), and fiber cement siding (such as Hardiplank or Hardiboard) (20 percent). Wood or wood products accounted... Read More ›

September Existing Sales Slightly Up

Fri, 10/20/2017 - 11:27
September existing sales increased slightly by 0.7% for the first time in four months, but the first-time buyer share decreased to 29% of sales, the lowest share since September 2015. The National Association of Realtors reported that parts of Texas and South Florida had temporary but notable declines due to Hurricanes Harvey and Irma. Some 48% of homes sold last... Read More ›

Lots Account for 17% of New Home Sale Prices

Fri, 10/20/2017 - 08:45
Earlier this month we published two blogs highlighting record-small sizes and record-high prices of new single-family lots. Extending this analysis and incorporating data on new home sale prices shows that, on average, lot values accounted for less than 17% of sale prices of new single-family homes started in 2016, the lowest share since at least 1999. Regionally, the share of... Read More ›

Remodeling Market Index Maintains Strength in Third Quarter

Thu, 10/19/2017 - 10:07
The Remodeling Market Index (RMI) posted a reading of 57 in the third quarter of 2017, up two points from the previous quarter, according to the National Association of Home Builders (Figure 1). For 18 consecutive quarters, the RMI has been at or above 50, which indicates that more remodelers report market activity is higher than report it is lower... Read More ›

Residential Construction Lower on Hurricanes: Trends Remain in Place

Wed, 10/18/2017 - 10:26
Information released jointly by the Department of Housing and Urban Development and the Census Bureau indicates that total housing starts fell by 4.7 percent reflecting a 4.6 percent decline in single-family starts and a 5.1 percent drop in multifamily starts. This release reflects three dynamics, the impact of the recent hurricanes, the continued national trend growth in single-family starts, and... Read More ›

Builder Confidence Rises Four Points in October

Tue, 10/17/2017 - 10:03
Builder confidence in the market for newly-built single-family homes rose four points to a level of 68 in October on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI). This was the highest reading since May. This current reading shows that home builder sentiment is rebounding from the initial reaction of concern due to hurricanes in Florida and Texas, including the anticipated effects of... Read More ›

Sale and Contract Prices per Square Foot in 2016

Tue, 10/17/2017 - 08:45
Looking at single-family homes started in 2016, the median prices per square foot, excluding improved lot values, range from $164 for contractor-built homes in the Pacific division to $81 for speculatively built homes in the East South Central division. At $164 per square foot, new contractor-built single-family homes in Pacific are the most expensive to build exceeding the national average... Read More ›

Most States Saw Permit Growth Over August YTD

Mon, 10/16/2017 - 13:15
According to the Census Bureau, over the first eight months of 2017 the total number of permits, which included single-family and multi-family, issued, nationwide on a not seasonally adjusted basis reached 852,825. This is 7.7% ahead of its level over the first eight months of 2016, 791,513. These data are taken from the Builder Permits Survey (BPS) instead of the... Read More ›

Six In Ten New Homes Are Built In Community Associations

Mon, 10/16/2017 - 09:00
According to data from the Census Bureau’s Survey of Construction (SOC), 59.8 percent of all homes started in 2016 were built within a community or homeowner’s association. The Census Bureau defines community or homeowner’s associations as “formal legal entities created to maintain common areas of a development and to enforce private deed restrictions; these organizations are usually created when the... Read More ›

Gas Prices Drive Overall Inflation

Fri, 10/13/2017 - 19:05
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, seasonally adjusted consumer prices faced by urban consumers (CPI) accelerated over the month of September 2017 reflecting an increase in the rate of gasoline price growth. However, the pace of acceleration slowed over the month reflecting in part a slowdown in the growth of shelter prices. Excluding the more volatile energy and food... Read More ›

Manufactured Homes Post August Increase

Fri, 10/13/2017 - 09:47
According to the U.S. Census Bureau, shipments of manufactured homes increased by 7.6% to an 85,000 seasonally adjusted annual rate in August, from 79,000 in July. This rate of growth partially reverses the 10.2% decline recorded in July, however, the number of manufactured homes in August remains 21.3% below its post-recession peak of 108,000 reached in January 2017. Figure 1... Read More ›